Fruitful lottery IPO may be Macron’s only offering to former French banking peers

Source:Global Times Published: 2019/11/25 20:18:41

EuroMillions lottery winners, Frances (L) and Patrick Connolly, pose during a photocall near Belfast, on Friday after they were unveiled as the winners of the New Year's day EuroMillions lottery draw. Photo: AFP

There are some benefits to having a former investment banker as president. Shares in La Française des Jeux (FDJ) rose by up to 18 percent on their debut after the government-controlled national lottery made its stock market debut in a listing championed by Emmanuel Macron, the ex-Rothschild banker who now occupies the Élysée Palace. But resurgent protests and a national strike will make it harder for him to flog other state assets in the coming year.

The biggest French retail stock offering since the global financial crisis was a success for around 500,000 domestic punters who saw their cut-price shares jump by almost a fifth. The state and its advisers, however, will face charges of under-pricing the country's showpiece privatization by leaving around 600 million euros ($661 million) of value on the table.

In truth, the FDJ soufflé may yet deflate. A market capitalization of around 4.3 billion euros means the company trades at a heady 22 times expected earnings for next year. 

That's a hefty premium to Greek peer Greek Organization of Football Prognostics, which is valued on a multiple of 15 despite higher expected sales growth, according to Refinitiv data.

The successful IPO should whet investors' appetite for the sale of other French assets, much as the British government offloaded telecoms and gas holdings in the 1980s. Top of the list is the government's 51 percent stake in Aéroports de Paris (ADP), which Macron wants to use to start an innovation fund. Shares in the 18 billion euro manager of the Charles de Gaulle and Orly airports have crept back up after suffering a selloff in May, when France's constitutional court approved plans for opposition politicians to ballot for a referendum on the idea.

Yet hostility to privatizations has hardly gone away. Parisian bankers speak of the "social issues" overshadowing a sale of ADP, including a national strike planned for December. One of the likely beneficiaries of a selloff is Vinci, the French infrastructure company which already owns 8 percent of ADP and would probably buy more. The operator of French highway toll booths is a frequent target of "gilets jaunes" protesters.

The ADP ballot is well short of the threshold needed to force a national vote on the issue. And Macron can point to a fruitful lottery IPO. But French bankers hoping their former colleague will push more lucrative business their way may be disappointed.

The author is Christopher Thompson, Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The article was first published on Reuters Breakingviews. bizopinion@globaltimes.com.cn



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