Tom Holland (left) and Zendaya attend the Spider-Man: No Way Home Los Angeles Premiere in the US on December 13, 2021. Photo: AFP
With great power comes great responsibility - and so
Spider-Man is being called upon to save Hollywood and movie theaters once again, with analysts eyeing the pandemic era's first potential billion dollar grossing film.
Box office watchers are spinning hopeful predictions for
Spider-Man: No Way Home, which hits theaters Friday, with some estimates for its North America opening weekend alone reaching $150 million or higher.
Despite the gradual recovery of movie theaters in 2021, that would be easily Hollywood's most successful opening since
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker - way back in the heady pre-pandemic days of December 2019.
No film since has passed $100 million on its debut.
"All year for the industry, it's been one step forward, and then two steps back," said Comscore analyst Paul Dergarabedian.
"The performance of
Spider-Man is really important."
Spider-Man: No Way Home is British star Tom Holland's third solo outing in the wildly popular role, played in earlier films by Tobey Maguire and Andrew Garfield.
The webslinger has form when it comes to big openings.
The original
Spider-Man film starring Maguire in 2002 was the first movie in the history of cinema to gross more than $100 million on its debut weekend.
On the red carpet for Monday's world premiere in Los Angeles, Holland raved about the latest film's "nostalgia, the culmination of three franchises, the celebration of cinema."
The plot picks up directly from 2019's Far From Home, which saw Peter Parker publicly unmasked by the villainous Mysterio.
Parker scrambles to regain his anonymity, with the help of another popular Marvel movie character - Benedict Cumberbatch's Doctor Strange.
"Really, Batman, Superman and X-Men are the only other series that have gotten this far - this is a ninth episode," said industry analyst David A. Gross, who runs Franchise Entertainment Research.
"It's just incredibly popular. And so we're going to see a big weekend."
Although 2021 is on course to roughly double the box office take of movie theaters in 2020, the annus horribilis, there have been more misses than hits. Films leaning toward older audiences, such as Steven Spielberg's West Side Story last weekend, have generally bombed.
Even the normally reliable Marvel superhero franchise - which enjoyed an unprecedented streak of billion dollar grossing movies culminating in 2019's briefly record-breaking
Avengers: Endgame - has struggled.
Poorly reviewed recent installments such as Eternals opened to around $70 million, a paltry amount by usual Marvel standards.
While Disney owns the film rights to most other Marvel characters, rival Sony controls the
Spider-Man movies.
The highest-opening film in North America since the pandemic began has been Sony's
Venom: Let There Be Carnage, a sequel based on
Spider-Man's nemesis.
Analysts said it is no coincidence that Sony, the only "traditional" big studio in Hollywood to not have its own streaming service, will likely soon have the two biggest openings of the pandemic.
"This is yet another great win for Sony - they've been on a roll," said Dergarabedian.
"I don't know if it's by design, but certainly having really not as many options to go streaming has held them in good stead and has made their movies more successful."
Despite the excitement surrounding
No Way Home, Gross warned that the industry's recovery "still has a long way to go," especially amid fears of a new surge in coronavirus cases fueled by the Omicron variant.
"It's going to be outstanding - I don't want to rain on it at all," Gross added.
"But I don't think it's a breakthrough and we're back, we're good."