WORLD / EUROPE
Polls open as Italians vote in general election
Right-wing alliance appears on course for clear victory
Published: Sep 25, 2022 08:20 PM
Polls opened in Italy on Sunday in an election that is forecast to return the country's most right-wing government since World War II and also herald its first woman prime minister.

Voting began at 7 am (05:00 GMT) and will continue until 11 pm (21:00 GMT) when exit polls will be published.

However, the complex calculations required by a hybrid proportional/first-past-the-post electoral law mean it may be many hours before a precise seat count is available.

A right-wing alliance led by Giorgia Meloni's Brothers of Italy party appeared on course for a clear victory when the last opinion polls were published two weeks ago.

But with a polls blackout in force in the two weeks before the election, there is still scope for a surprise.

There has been speculation that support for the left-leaning 5-Star Movement, the biggest party in 2018, has picked up in recent days.

A late surge by 5-Star could jeopardize the rightist alliance's chances of winning a majority in the Senate or upper house, complicating the process of forming a government. Even if there is a clear cut ­result, the next government is unlikely to take office before late October, with the new parliament not meeting until October 13.

Meloni would be the obvious candidate for prime minister as leader of an alliance also featuring Matteo Salvini's League party and Silvio Berlusconi's Forza Italia.

That would cap a remarkable rise for Meloni, a 45-year-old from Rome whose party won only 4 percent of the vote in the last national election in 2018.

Italy's first autumn national election in over a century was triggered by party infighting that brought down Prime ­Minister Mario Draghi's broad national unity government in July.

The next prime minister will lead the country's 68th government since 1946 and face a host of challenges, notably rising energy costs.

The outcome of the vote will also be watched nervously in European capitals and on financial markets.

European Union leaders, keen to preserve unity after the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, are concerned that Italy will be a more unpredictable partner than under former European Central Bank chief Draghi.

For markets, there are the perennial worries about Italy's ability to manage a debt pile that amounts to around 150 percent of gross domestic product.

Meloni plays down her party's post-fascist roots and portrays it as a mainstream conservative group. She has pledged to support Western policy on the Russia-Ukraine conflict and not take undue risks with an economy hit hard by rising prices.

Italy is also benefiting from 192 billion euros ($187 billion) of post-coronavirus EU recovery funds, offering a powerful incentive to stick to agreed reform plans.

However, there are signs of division between Meloni and her allies on foreign policy.

League leader Salvini has criticized the impact of higher energy prices on Italians, blaming it in part on the blowback from Western sanctions against Russia.