Peak of viral epidemic passes in China

By Wang Qi Source:Global Times Published: 2020/3/12 22:48:41

Top epidemiologist expects zero new cases by month end in the country


Medical workers inquire a cured coronavirus patient about his health condition at the rehabilitation center based in the Wuhan Vocational College of Software and Engineering in Wuhan, central China's Hubei Province, March 10, 2020. Cured coronavirus patients who had been discharged from hospital were required to go on a 14-day quarantine at designated places for medical observation. The rehabilitation center, converted from the dormitory of the Wuhan Vocational College of Software and Engineering, has received more than 600 cured coronavirus patients who were discharged from hospital by Monday. Photo: Xinhua

The National Health Commission (NHC) announced on Thursday that peak of the COVID-19 epidemic in China has passed, with numerous improving signals including the fact that the number of new cases in Wuhan, Central China's Hubei Province, declined to single digits for the first time.

The tally of daily new confirmed cases in epidemic-stricken Wuhan declined to eight on Wednesday while in the other places in Hubei Province, no new cases had been reported in the past week as of the same day, Mi Feng, spokesperson of the NHC, said at a press conference on Thursday in Beijing. 

Meanwhile, seven new cases were reported outside Hubei among which six were imported cases, Mi said, noting that these facts indicated that the peak of the COVID-19 epidemic in China has passed. 

Chinese epidemiologists are also making positive predictions on the end of the epidemic. Li Lanjuan, a renowned Chinese epidemiologist, said in an interview with the media on Tuesday that she hopes no new local cases will be reported in China by the end of March.

She said there are two vital criteria to judge whether the epidemic really ends: first, no new cases for a continuous 28 days; second, all infected cases have been hospitalized.

As the situation is improving in China, the country has gradually resumed production. Even Hubei Province, which is the most severely affected place in China, has announced to gradually resume work.

Some provinces and regions like the Macao Special Administrative Region and Northwest China's Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region have also released plans to reopen local schools, which have been closed for more than one month due to the epidemic. 

However, experts called for patience and attention to imported cases given the rapid spread of the virus outside China.

As of Thursday, more than 43,000 COVID-19 cases had been reported outside China from nearly 120 countries and regions, media reported. 

"It needs a scientific strategy," said Yang Zhanqiu, a Wuhan-based virologist, saying local governments should carefully and gradually make moves to resume work and life. However, it is better to be patient in terms of Wuhan. 

Zhong Nanshan, China's leading expert on respiratory diseases, said Thursday that the global COVID-19 infection, which was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization on Wednesday, may come to an end by June, which depends on each involved country's tough efforts.

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